Friday, January 14, 2011

2011 Golden Globe Predictions

Here are my predictions for the the 2011 Golden Globes. 

Be sure to watch this Sunday night, January 16, 2011, live from the Beverly Hilton Hotel, from 5PM to 8PM PST and from 8PM to 11PM EST.



Best Picture (Drama)
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King’s Speech
The Social Network

Who Will Win: The Social Network
Who Should Win: The King’s Speech
The 411: The King’s Speech garnered the most nominations but “Social Network” has the momentum to get the needed votes. “Black Swan” is the dark horse in the pack so if you’re looking for an upset that’d be my pick.

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)
Alice in Wonderland
Burlesque
The Kids Are All Right
Red
The Tourist

Who Will Win: The Kids Are All Right
Who Should Win: The Kids Are All Right
The 411: Based on the films nominated in this category “The Kids Are All Right” seems to have a leg up on the others. That said, if the Hollywood Foreign Press goes for “Black Swan” I’d look for “Alice in Wonderland” as my long shot.

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan)
David Fincher (The Social Network)
Tom Hooper (The King’s Speech)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)
David O. Russell (The Fighter)

Who Will Win: David Fincher
Who Should Win: Darren Aronofsky
The 411: This category is one of those if x then y variables. If “Social Network” carries the best picture category then you should see David Fincher win here, otherwise look for Darren Aronfsky to pull one out of his hat.

Best Actor (Drama)
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)
Colin Firth (The King’s Speech)
James Franco (127 Hours)
Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine)
Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)

Who Will Win: Colin Firth
Who Should Win: Colin Firth
The 411: I’d say this category is a lock, it’s going to be difficult for any actor to overcome the momentum Colin Firth is carrying.

Best Actress (Drama)
Halle Berry (Frankie and Alice)
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole)
Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone)
Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)

Who Will Win: Natalie Portman
Who Should Win: Natalie Portman
The 411: Of the category, Portman’s performance is probably the most memorable and it will be difficult for the critics to forget it when they cast their ballots. Jennifer Lawrence may have an outside chance, but the foreign press seldom go for films so uniquely American and dysfunctional.

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)
Johnny Depp (Alice in Wonderland)
Johnny Depp (The Tourist)
Paul Giamatti (Barney’s Version)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Love and Other Drugs)
Kevin Spacey (Casino Jack)

Who Will Win: Johnny Depp
Who Should Win: Kevin Spacey
The 411: Foreigners love Johnny Depp, what else do I need to say. Kevin Spacey is the only other contender in this category, but Depp is the darling of the foreign press. No contest.

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right)
Anne Hathaway (“Love and Other Drugs”)
Angelina Jolie (The Tourist)
Julianne Moore (The Kids Are All Right)
Emma Stone (Easy A)

Who Will Win: Annette Bening
Who Should Win: Annette Bening
The 411: Annette Bening is a serious Oscar contender this year. Angelina Jolie has an outside shot at this as she’s a favorite oversees, but her performance was not that strong. Look for Bening to take home the trophy.

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale (The Fighter)
Michael Douglas (Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps)
Andrew Garfield (The Social Network)
Jeremy Renner (The Town)
Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)

Who Will Win: Christian Bale
Who Should Win: Christian Bale
The 411: Christian Bale is the hands down favorite here, but should an upset occur look for Geoffrey Rush on the podium.

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams (The Fighter)
Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech)
Mila Kunis (Black Swan)
Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)

Who Will Win: Melissa Leo
Who Should Win: Amy Adams
The 411: Amy Adams has had three nominations without a win, which makes her a sentimental favorite, however Melissa Leo has the momentum going into the awards and her performance was near perfect.

Best Screenplay
Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy (127 Hours)
Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg (The Kids Are All Right)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)
David Seidler (The King’s Speech)
Aaron Sorkin (The Social Network)

Who Will Win: Aaron Sorkin
Who Should Win: Aaron Sorkin
The 411: Let’s just say that Aaron Sorkin will be difficult to beat.

Best Animated Film
Despicable Me
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Tangled
Toy Story 3

Who Will Win: Toy Story 3
Who Should Win: Toy Story 3
The 411: “Toy Story 3” was the highest grossing film of 2010 and with talk of an Oscar nomination for best picture it will be difficult to beat.

Best Foreign Film
Biutiful (Spain)
The Concert (France)
The Edge (Russia)
I Am Love (Italy)
In a Better World (Denmark)

Who Will Win: Biutiful
Who Should Win: I Am Love
The 411: “I Am Love” is reportedly a much better picture than it’s getting credit for being but “Biutiful” has the star power to pull off the win here.

Best Original Score
Alexandre Desplat (The King’s Speech)
Danny Elfman (Alice in Wonderland)
A.R. Rahman (127 Hours)
Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross (The Social Network)
Hans Zimmer (Inception)

Who Will Win: Alexandre Desplat
Who Should Win: Hans Zimmer
The 411: Desplat has been nominated five times before in this category, so look for him to be the favorite. Zimmer, the workhorse when it comes to musical scoring, could pull off an upset, but look for Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross if you really want to bet on a long shot with a chance.

Best Original Song
“Bound to You” (Burlesque)
“Coming Home” (Country Strong)
“I See the Light” (Tangled)
“There’s a Place for Us” (The Chronicles of Narnia)
“You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” (Burlesque)

Who Will Win: “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me”
Who Should Win: “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me”
The 411: It’s Cher, what else do you need to know? If you’re looking for an upset then go with “Bound to You.” Why? It’s Christina Aguilera…

Best TV Series, Drama
“Boardwalk Empire”
“Dexter”
“The Good Wife”
“Mad Men”
“The Walking Dead”

Who Will Win: “Boardwalk Empire”
Who Should Win: “Mad Men”
The 411: “Mad Men” had one of its best seasons to date and looks to continue to be strong going into next season, but it has had its run of awards in the past so look to newcomer “Boardwalk Empire” to win here.

Best TV Series, Comedy
“30 Rock”
“The Big Bang Theory”
“The Big C”
“Glee”
“Modern Family”
“Nurse Jackie”

Who Will Win: “The Big C”
Who Should Win: “Modern Family”
The 411: Globe voters like big stars so look for “The Big C” to pull in their votes despite the solid ensemble cast and performances of “Modern Family.”

Best Actor in a TV Series, Drama
Steve Buscemi, "Boardwalk Empire"
Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad"
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"
Hugh Laurie, "House"

Who Will Win: Jon Hamm
Who Should Win: Steve Buscemi
The 411: Here again is the “if x then y” formula… If “Boardwalk Empire” pulls off the win for best drama series then look to John Hamm here, otherwise it’s Buscemi with the trophy.

Best Actress in a TV Series, Drama
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Elizabeth Moss, “Mad Men”
Piper Perabo, “Covert Affairs”
Katey Sagal, “Sons of Anarchy”
Kyra Sedgwick, “The Closer”

Who Will Win: Julianna Margulies
Who Should Win: Elizabeth Moss
The 411: Both Julianna Margulies and Kyra Sedgwick have won a globe for their roles before and while “The Closer” did not have as strong a season as “The Good Wife” or “Mad Men” so look to Julianna to repeat or Elizabeth Moss for the upset.

Best Actor, TV Series Comedy
Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”
Steve Carrell, “The Office”
Thomas Jane, “Hung”
Matthew Morrison, “Glee”
Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”

Who Will Win: Jim Parsons
Who Should Win: Jim Parsons
The 411: “Glee” burst onto the TV scene with instant success and numerous guest stars where “The Big Bang Theory” has slowly and steadily built a following based on solid and reliable performances, look for Jim Parsons to be rewarded this year.

Best Actress in a TV Series, Comedy
Toni Collette, “Unites States of Tara”
Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
Tina Fey, “30 Rock”
Laura Linney, “The Bic C”
Lea Michele, “Glee”

Who Will Win: Laura Linney
Who Should Win: Tina Fey
The 411: Tina Fey and “30 Rock” have won numerous awards in the past, look for the foreign press to give the award to the biggest star who hasn’t been here before.

Best TV Movie or Mini-Series
“Carlos”
“The Pacific”
“Pillars of the Earth”
“Temple Grandin”
“You Don’t Know Jack”

Who Will Win: “The Pacific”
Who Should Win: “Temple Grandin”
The 411: “Temple Grandin” picked up a lot of Emmy attention last year, but voters have forgotten about it in light of more recent releases, look for the globe to go to “The Pacific.”

Best Actor in a Mini-series or Made-for-TV Movie
Idris Elba, “Luther”
Ian McShane, “Pillars of the Earth”
Al Pacino, “You Don’t Know Jack”
Dennis Quaid, “The Special Relationship”
Edgar Ramirez, Carlos

Who Will Win: Al Pacino
Who Should Win: Edgar Ramirez
The 411: Edgar Ramirez has generated a lot of buzz for his performance as Carlos the Jackel but look to the foreign press to reward the big star, whoo-ah!

Best Actress in a Mini-series or Made for TV Movie
Hayley Atwell, “Pillars of the Earth”
Claire Danes, “Temple Grandin”
Judi Dench, “Return to Cranford”
Romala Garai, “Emma”
Jennifer Love Hewitt, “The Client List”

Who Will Win: Claire Danes
Who Should Win: Claire Danes
The 411: Claire Danes’ performance here was too good to be forgotten about, look for her on the podium.

Supporting Actor in a Series, Mini-series, or TV movie
Scott Caan, “Hawaii Five-O”
Chris Colfer, “Glee”
Chris Noth, “The Good Wife”
Eric Stonestreet, “Modern Family”
David Strathern, “Temple Grandin”

Who Will Win: Chris Colfer
Who Should Win: Scott Caan
The 411: Scott Caan makes the re-worked version of “Hawaii Five-O” work, that said, “Glee” has garnered a lot of press this year but will be ignored in the other categories so look for it to win the consolation award here.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Mini-series or TV Movie
Hope Davis, “The Special Relationship”
Jane Lynch, “Glee”
Kelly McDonald, “Boardwalk Empire”
Julia Stiles, “Dexter”
Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”

Who Will Win: Sofia Vergara
Who Should Win: Kelly McDonald
The 411: If Sofia Vergara does not win this category and Jane Lynch does then look to Eric Stonestreet to win the supporting actor globe. This is all about rewarding shows that aren’t going to win elsewhere, the real loser here is Kelly McDonald who has gotten high praise for “Boardwalk Empire” this year.


No comments:

Post a Comment